Thursday, July 31, 2003

If you're not sick of reading about the terrorism death pool yet, Sadly, No! has more -- some additional skepticism about the ability of betting pools to predict the future (Saddam's overthrow was predicted by TradeSports.com bettors -- betting in April!), plus some questions about whether the program would have been set up well, and whether we would have known what to do with good information if we'd gotten it. Well worth reading.

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